Fire SuitedTier 2
at DTR Store Championships
decks
2
(9.1% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-3-3
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.1%
avg ELO +2.7 per match
expected value
48.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1292
· median 1292
· range 1283–1302
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1058
Q1 1159
Q3 1360
1493
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 9.1% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Aetherwing | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 4.5% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 58.3% | +8.0 |
| Water Umbra Guardian | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 4.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.9% | -11.4 |
| Wind Ciel | 4.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.8% | +14.2 |
